Most arguments about the singularity are not yet arguments about evidence. They are two people using one word for different claims and never noticing the switch.
The clean way into the subject is to separate three ideas that are often bundled together: recursive improvement, social discontinuity, and a threshold event. Once they are apart, each has different evidence, different failure conditions, and a different level of confidence.
Inside this guide
- Three claims hiding inside one word
- What the singularity is not
- Why the distinction is practical
- A simple way to read a singularity headline
- What evidence would change the case
- Source trail
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