The Field Guide

Observations from watching this terrain from the outside, written for people who are smart but feel late to the conversation. Never elementary, never academic. These are living documents: each one shows when it was last revised and what changed in the evidence.

How to read an AI benchmark claim without being fooled

A number went up. Six questions tell you whether that means anything.

Last revised 2026-08-08

The strongest cases for and against acceleration, presented fairly

Both positions, made the way their best advocates make them rather than the way their opponents do.

Last revised 2026-08-08

What the singularity actually means, the sober version

The word carries three separate claims. Most disagreements are really about which one is being made.

Last revised 2026-08-08